Jul 14, 2009

What Teens Want (Media Edition)

Teenager Matthew Robson of Morgan Stanley wrote a report* that has the blogosphere buzzing. I thought I'd respond to his points from the viewpoint of a parent of three teens/post-teens (18 to 22 year olds):

  • Teens don’t want to pay for music, and certainly not CDs. They’ll either download it illegally or going on streaming sites to listen to what they want, when they want. 

The issue is not paying; the issue is access. When they hear of a song they like (through friends, in a movie, or a music-conscious tv show like The OC), they want a copy now.

They will buy CDs, if they feel the disc provides good value. But music stores are shutting down or cutting back on selection, eliminating sales. 

Another flaw in the system is that record companies have ensured that music is now everywhere; it no longer is the rare commodity it was 50-100 years ago. The lack of scarcity makes the value of each song < $0.01.

As for music sharing, teens see no difference between hearing songs on radio for free, sharing an iPod (one earbud each for two people), sharing by copying, or downloading. In fact, teens see free downloading as wise, since it saves them money -- no different than getting 80% off a new piece of clothing.

Here in Canada, downloading is legal (only uploading is illegal).

  • Radio is dead to teenagers.

Mine will listen to radio in the car, but will frantically switch between stations to hear songs they like. If stations play more than one song they don't like, the radio goes off.

  • Teens hates intrusive advertising.

Doesn't everyone?

  • Teens spend money going to the movie theatre because it’s a social activity. 

Movie theatres seem to have replaced other forms of location entertainment: rock concerts are too expensive, symphony concerts too boring, theater plays to stuffy, museums too rare, local street festivals too corny...

  •  Print media is irrelevant to them.

Not at all. My son gets car magazines; my girls get girl magazines. They will scan the front page of our local paper.

  • Teens don’t use Twitter because no one is reading their tweets.

Mine don't use Twitter, because it makes no sense to them. My youngest has several times asked how it works; that "anyone" can read her Tweets is meaningless to them. 

  • Teens use Facebook.

Mine will sit on the couch with friends, and use Facebook to text message the person sitting next to them. Heck, my daughter has done that with me. 

Facebook makes sense, because it defines their group of friends, the people to whom they need to show off. "Look at the clever words I wrote." "Look at my latest photos of myself."

  • Teens don’t watch live TV anymore, preferring to watch content online.

Almost true. My teens want to watch shows at times that suit them, not at times that suit networks. They still watch live TV of special shows (Olympics) or when it is a shared family experience, such as The Office.

  • Sony Ericsson phones are seen as being high-end.

True. Both my son and one daughter have this brand. My son is on his 3rd one. He doesn't understand why everyone doesn't have one. OTOH, I think he likes being "the only one" with a Sony Ericsson, making him stand out.

  • Well-to-do teens listen to music on the iPod, less well-off teens use their cellphone.

I disagree. Snobby teens listen to iPods; all others use anything but an iPod. Go into an electronics store, and watch the battle between mom (wants to pay for the "jsut as good" cheaper model) and the daughter (wants the overpriced white or pink iPod).

My youngest uses an iPod; she cares about looks. My middle one cares about the music, not the playback device; she uses a gray SanDisk. My oldest cares about the convenience factor (Sony Ericsson cell phone with music player, hi-res camera, Internet browser -- all in one). Me, I care about small size and user interface, so I use a Sony Walkman MP3 player.

What Else Teens Want

This list is necessarily media oriented. What gets left out is what teens really want:

Their parents. Both of them. Together.

- - -

*) This version of the list  from Nicholas Deleon at CrunchGear.

Jul 01, 2009

Happy Birthday, Canada -- older than most

I'm just back from Europe, where 1000-year-old buildings are passe -- and where Germany is celebrating its 60th birthday. No kidding; they're counting the 60 years going back to when a reset button got pressed in 1949. Germany: where everyone is an expert on George Bush, but no one knows about the 2010 Winter Olympics.

Today, Canada celebrates its birthday, being nearly three times "older" than Germany at 142 years. To celebrate, here are some self-deprecating Canadian jokes:

Q1: How do you get a Canadian to apologize?

Q2: How to you get a pool full of Canadians to get out the water?

Answers below.

Not that our politicians don't like to have fun. My home province of British Columbia found excuses to hold 100th-birthday celebrations several times: 1958, 1967 (Canada's 100th), 1971. We school kids got to know the word "centennial" pretty well, as politicians spent our parents' money throwing parties. It's just that we grew up thinking centennial was Canadian for birthday.

A1: By stepping on his foot.

A2: By announcing, "All Canadians leave the pool."

Jul 23, 2008

History of (M)CAD

Dave Weisberg has released his history of CAD -- or, more correctly, history of (primarily) mechanical CAD. You can download a ZIP file that contains all chapters in PDF format here. I love reading history, and I am enjoying learning more of the roots of our industry.

Topics include:

  • Computer-Aided Design Strong Roots at MIT
  • Research in the Second Half of the 1960s
  • Civil Engineering Software Development at MIT
  • The First Commercial CAD System
  • Applicon
  • Autodesk and AutoCAD
  • Auto-trol Technology
  • Bentley Systems
  • Calma 
  • Computervision
  • IBM/Lockheed/Dassault Systèmes
  • Intergraph
  • Patrick Hanratty and Manufacturing & Consulting Services
  • Parametric Technology Corporation
  • Structural Dynamics Research Corporation
  • Solidworks
  • Siemens PLM Software (UGS)
  • Tom Lazear and VersaCAD
  • Miscellaneous Companies
  • Analysis Companies

The ebook is free. Mr Weisberg asks for a donation to the Cancer League of Colorado Foundation (via PayPal). Details here: www.cadhistory.net

Jul 11, 2008

CV for AEC

Rifling through my collection of mouse pads, I came across this one made by ComputerVision:

Cv-aec

I never thought of ComputerVision being ideal for AEC [architecture, engineering, construction] software; the heavy duty piping belies the claim, as well.

As for being "for the 90s," well, CV was purchased by PTC in 1997.

Apr 07, 2008

AutoCAD v2.5

Autodesk showed AutoCAD v2.5 in June 1986 at the AEC Systems show in Chicago. I have Autodesk's brochure from back then, and it's interesting to read what was considered "new" in 22 years ago:

-- AutoCAD had more than 50,000 users.
-- Autodesk recommended 640KB RAM, but this release of AutoCAD also had Expanded/Extended Memory Support for computers running the then very expensive 80286 CPU.
-- regen-free zooms and pans.

You can see the list of new commands in the figure below. Autodesk cheated by making the ellipses from short polyline segments. Real ellipses would come later. Still, you can see why v2.5 was such a hit, because these basic commands had been missing 'til then.

V25

(There is one typo: Table Menu is asterisked as a drawing command; it actually refers to the addition of a tablet overlay included in the box, which killed a number of small third-party developers who had been creating custom templates.)

As well, there were enhancements, such as these:

-- context-sensitive help.
-- Crossing and Previous selection modes
-- Polar option for the Array command
-- Mirror could now make mirrored copies at any angle

But not all new features have remained to this day. IGES im/export was later removed. As was the much disliked hardware lock (withdrawn a few months later with v2.52). Autodesk spun the unwanted addition this way:

AutoCAD 2.5 is execution-protected with a hardware lock. There are no power wires to trip over or take up outlet space; the hardware lock simply connects between your pointing device and computer.

At the time, Autodesk had hired a new marketing guy from IBM. As I recall the story, CADalyst (the only magazine dedicated to AutoCAD software at the time) could get a review copy of AutoCAD v2.5 with a 90-day invoice. After 90 days, we could return the software, or pay $2,500 (I think that was the price). Fortunately, saner heads prevailed: the new marketing guy was let go, and the 90-day invoice torn up.

Dec 17, 2007

One Story on How GIS Began

Today's Globe&Mail reports on how Roger Tomlinson of Canada birthed geographic information systems (GIS). The idea rose from the thought that computers might be able to derive map data more cheaply than doing the work by hand:

The project estimate for doing the job manually was about $8-million; Dr. Tomlinson thought it could be done for $3-million on a computer. "We eventually did it for about $10-million, but that's the way programming goes," he chuckled.

Full story here.

Nov 16, 2007

Lighthouse
Axon-Shapeware-Visio
Omnigraffle

AppleInsider has an article explaining why Microsoft will be shipping Office 2008 for the Mac without some of the applications found in the Windows version. The paragraph regarding Visio's absence is a bit odd:

In 2000, Microsoft paid $1.3 billion to acquire Visio Corporation, which had delivered a clone of the Lighthouse Design Diagram! application for NeXTSTEP. The Omni Group delivered a similar product for the Mac called OmniGraffle, which Apple bundles on new Macs. Omni also offers a pro version, which can open and save Visio 2007 documents, leaving little reason to want a port of Visio in Mac Office.

I am not sure what to make of the first sentence, never having heard the "clone" claim before. According to Wikipedia:

Lighthouse Design Ltd. was an American software company that operated from 1989 to 1996. Lighthouse developed software for NeXT computers running the NeXTSTEP operating system.... In 1996, Lighthouse was acquired by Sun Microsystems.

Two of the first products developed at Lighthouse were Diagram! and Exploder. Diagram! was a drawing tool, in which objects are connected together using "smart links" to construct diagrams such as flow charts. Diagram was copied by Visio Corporation, who were acquired by Microsoft in 2000.

A PDF of Diagram!'s spec sheet is available here, dated 1995, and it does read like a Visio features list. (Visio first shipped in late 1992.)

In any case, the AppleInsider sentence could use a rewrite, since it reads like Visio delivered its "cloned' diagramming software for NeXT. Visio was Windows-only.

The other item that surprised me was OmniGraffle's apparent ability to open and save Visio documents. Because of the way Visio is structured (through a spreadsheet-like database called the "shapesheet), it is not possible to translate Visio .vsd files directly. Checking the Web site indicates that a workaround is indeed employed: OmniGraffle uses Visio's XML import and export, which is like using DXF to get at the data in a CAD drawing.

Sep 14, 2007

Adobe Also Celebrates
25 Years

While Autodesk endures a $10 million lawsuit on its 25th Anniversary, Adobe also celebrates its Silver year. Pamela Pfiffner of Macworld tries to Imagine a World Without Adobe.

Unmentioned in Ms Pfiffner's mini-history is that Visio was founded by co-founders of Aldus (of PageMaker fame, which I continue to use to this day), which was then bought by Adobe.

Or that controversy of TrueType fonts, which Apple/Microsoft gave away free -- killing Adobe's market in over high-priced fonts, but making fonts universally available for the Rest of Us. Something for which Adobe's never forgiven Microsoft. Hey, you're gonna step on a few heads on your way to monopolism.

(My silver anniversary in this industry comes up in 2010.)

Aug 20, 2007

Five Corrections

Here's the errors I found in the statement, "Did you know that 25 years ago John Walker & 16 employees started Autodesk, with the sole goal of creating a CAD application for under $1,000?"

1. Employees -- they were equal partners.

2. Walker & 16 -- there were 16 in total, not 17.

3. sole goal -- AutoCAD was just one of several software applications the group launched, and the only one to become a success. The company itself is named after one of the other, unsuccessful applications -- an early version of today's office suite.

4. creating a CAD application -- they didn't create the CAD application; AutoCAD was originally Mike Riddle's MicroCAD, which he began work on in the late 1970s. They had a falling out, and Mr Riddle received royalties for several years, until Autodesk paid a lump sum to buy him out (as noted in an annual report from the late 1980s). Mr Riddle went on to form Evolution Computing, FastCAD, and EasyCAD.

5. under $1000 -- the original price was exactly $1,000, with add-ons upping the price. One of the $500 add-ons was for dimensioning, so the $1000-product was not useful for drafting. For a while, Autodesk increased the price of each release so that new buyers paid the same price as old buyers who had paid for the original + upgrades.

Aug 18, 2007

The Onset of Senility
At Age Twenty-Five

How many errors can you find in this statement (made by Autodesk's external pr firm in an email to editors)?

Did you know that 25 years ago John Walker & 16 employees started Autodesk, with the sole goal of creating a CAD application for under $1,000?
I count five errors. (I'll list the ones I found here on Monday.)

I gentley suggest that whoever was responsible for drafting that sentence take the Remedial CAD History class at Autodesk U. In preparation, please read John Walker's recollections in The Autodesk File.

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